Trend and Decomposition Analysis of Apple Production in Jammu and Kashmir

Abstract-In this paper examines the trend and decomposition analysis of apple production in Jammu and Kashmir in India. Apple fruits production in the world stood at around 2.4 million metric tons in the year 2022-23, making India the fifth largest producer. In India level, the Area, 321.90 in thousand hectares in the beginning year, nosedived to 312.60 in thousand hectares during the year 2020-21. It is exhibited a negative trend upto the end year. At the same time, the growth was not at notable level to area for apple fruits in India over the period. (CAGR = -0.28, t = – 0.59, P < 0.10). On the other hand, it is understood from the table that the production and productivity of the apple fruits in India with average of 2326.94 in thousand million tonnes and 7.57 million tonnes / hectares have reached to 2275.80 in thousand million tonnes and 7.30 in million tonnes / hectares after testing at as high as 2814.30 thousand million tonnes and 9.10 million tonnes / hectares in 2019-20 from 2203.40 thousand million tonnes and 6.80 million tonnes / hectares in 2011-12 at significant compound rate of 1.69 per cent (CAGR = 1.69, t = 1.58, P < 0.10) and 2.04 per cent (CAGR = 2.04, t = 1.55, P < 0.10). From the inferences of these results, it is found that negative growth in area of apple fruits, but notable growth in production and productivity of apple fruits in India level. Apple production in the Jammu and Kashmir region experienced substantial growth, with a notable upward trend during the period under consideration.